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"Pirates" earns $17 million ..

Discussion in 'Movie Lounge' started by stephenj, May 25, 2007.

  1. stephenj

    stephenj Active Member

    .. during its thursday night sneak-preview showings, according to "media by numbers".

    that's a lot more than shrek 3 did in its sneak screenings, btw.

    granted, shrek is first and foremost a kid's movie whereas "pirates" has a huge teenage following, and teens are far more likely to attend late-night sneak previews.

    that said, my $90m prediction might be in trouble.
     
  2. Shane

    Shane Active Member

    http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=piratesofthecaribbean3.htm

    $57 million as of yesterday. I'd consider the $90 million figure to be shot by the end of today. If you use worldwide gross, it's already sunk. In fact they say it'll be the biggest Memorial Day opening ever which would sink my $130-$150 million figure fast.
     
  3. Tyson

    Tyson New Member

    This is pretty much what I thought would happen.
     
  4. Alfer

    Alfer New Member

    I guess my $200+ million number is gonna in the running then.... :p
     
  5. stephenj

    stephenj Active Member

    I wasn't talking world-wide, just USA.

    While my $90m does look low, the take on friday was $43m, which was well below spiderman 3's first-friday take. Shrek 3 did $14m, so i think that to a certain extent i was right about the competition hurting "pirates".
     
  6. Shane

    Shane Active Member

  7. stephenj

    stephenj Active Member

    The friday-sunday BO (counting thursday as part of friday) was $126m, clearly above my prediction of $90m, but also clearly below the predictions of many analysts (such as Lee's and Box OFfice Mojo) that had it coming in at around $150m for the 3 days.

    While i was wrong overall, i think my basic argument had some force: competition from Shrek III (which scored $50m) and even from Spidey was intense.

    And movie goers may have been suffering "blockbuster fatigue": The predictions for *all* 3 movies was way off. E.g., Lee's had Pirates at $157m, Shrek at $67m, and Spidey at $17m for the 3 days. The actual numbers were $126, $51, and $13m. Those were all over-estimated.

    If Disney had opened this on July 4, i think it would indeed have been a record-breaker, or close to it. I still maintain timing it right after Shrek III and Spidey was a marketing mistake.
     
  8. Drew Mitten

    Drew Mitten New Member

    I was one of those peeps.

    It was really good. Better than Number 2 but not as good as Number 1.
     
  9. Shane

    Shane Active Member

    Final total for the weekend: $151 million. A Memorial day weekend record.
     
  10. Ron-P

    Ron-P Well-Known Member

    This will be the summers biggie, no movie is going to touch it.
     
  11. stephenj

    stephenj Active Member

    i don't think so. it's well behind spidey's pace, and behind shrek 3 too.

    right now, shrek 3 seems to have the best legs. i think it will pas Spidey. if i had to predict the final US box office it would be Shrek 3 first, Spidey next, POTC third.
     
  12. Alfer

    Alfer New Member

    Counting out Potter??
     
  13. Ron-P

    Ron-P Well-Known Member

    Wow, I had no idea. What did Shrek and Spidy do their opening weekends?
     
  14. Alfer

    Alfer New Member

    This should help...you can select week by week data.

    http://movies.yahoo.com/mv/boxoffice/;_ylt=AmffVdp.o_8z_hhUSOo2OdFfVXcA
     
  15. Ron-P

    Ron-P Well-Known Member

    Looks like Spidy and Pirates tied for opening weekends and Shrek's weekend was about $30 mil less. Seeing that Spidy's been out a for a month now I still think Pirates will step on him for over-all summer dollars. It'll beat Shrek as well.

    Potter could rule the summer though as it's popularity is greater then all the above.
     
  16. Alfer

    Alfer New Member

    I think it's safe to say that overall this will indeed be a huge summer for movies...much moreso than the last few years...and who knows, next year may be a total bust..I haven't heard about too many big blockbusters that will be arriving in summer 2008, so the movie moguls should enjoy this year while they can.

    :)
     
  17. Tyson

    Tyson New Member

    It'll be huge but we'll be hearing all over the media how the studios are complaining of lackluster box office receipts. $50,000,000 lower that last years total of 10,000,000,000,000 dollars (exaggerating of course). lol. It's the same every year.
     
  18. Ron-P

    Ron-P Well-Known Member

    Indiana Jones next summer, that is one blockbuster and I'm sure there will be more for 2008.
     
  19. Alfer

    Alfer New Member

    True...I know that's one I'll venture out to see....I wonder if ol' Indy still has the box-office draw...especially for the kids today who have little clue who Indy is...I guess that's why they hired the new teen "it kid" Shai LeBote (sp)? I'm sure us folks in out late 30's, 40's+ will enjoy seeing how they wrap things up...
     
  20. Hayes Preston

    Hayes Preston Member

    The Dark Night (Batman Begins sequel) also arrives summer 08
     

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